Showing posts with label automation refugees. Show all posts
Showing posts with label automation refugees. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 10, 2013

Publishers May Pay To Preserve Saturday Delivery

Publishers and other mailers celebrating today’s news that Saturday mail delivery will be continued should take another look at the announcement’s ominous words.

“The Board has also asked management to evaluate further options to increase revenue, including an exigent rate increase to raise revenues across current Postal Service product categories and products not currently covering their costs,” today's statement from the U.S. Postal Service’s Board of Governors said.

Translated from Beltway Babble into plain English: The board wants to hit Periodicals publishers and mailers of Standard-class flat mail, such as catalogs, with an extra rate hike. Increases in most postal rates are limited to the inflation rate, but in emergencies USPS can seek “exigent” rate hikes.

USPS estimated its plan to end most Saturday deliveries would have added $2 billion annually to its beleaguered bottom line. Now the governors are looking for other ways to get that money, and instead of an across-the-board increase they’re suggesting that the hikes be targeted at allegedly unprofitable mail.

Despite extensive downsizing by the Postal Service and better preparation of catalogs and magazines by mailers, USPS claims its costs of handling flat mail have risen rapidly in recent years. Some postal experts blame USPS’s cost-accounting system, which tends to allocate the costs of “automation refugees” and other inefficiencies to the Periodicals class and to Standard flats.

Adding insult to injury, the $1.3 billion investment in the Flats Sequencing System (FSS) – which was supposed to revolutionize the handling of such mail – so far is costing more money than it is saving.

USPS claims the Periodicals class (magazines and newspapers) pays only 72% of its costs, meaning that a 39% rate hike would be needed to bring the class to theoretical breakeven. For “Standard flats” – the portion of Standard-class flat mail not in carrier-route bundles – the increase would be 24%. The most efficient Standard mailers would be largely shielded from an exigent rate hike because most of their mail is in carrier-route bundles.

Here’s some background information on the relevant postal issues:

Tuesday, January 4, 2011

USPS Is Wasting Money on Unwanted Services, Publishing Executive Says

The U.S. Postal Service’s costs for handling Periodicals mail are so high partly because it insists on providing services that publishers don't want, according to a leading publishing executive.

A recent Office of Inspector General report cited unofficial “Hot 2C” (or “Hot Periodicals”) programs as a major reason for the extensive – and expensive – manual processing of magazines and newspapers that supposedly help make Periodicals a money-loser for the USPS.

“Periodicals publishers have repeatedly made clear that they do not desire and are not willing to pay for 'hot' processing," Jim O’Brien, Vice President, Distribution & Postal Affairs for Time Incorporated, responded yesterday in a letter (full text is below) to the OIG. “Every publisher that we at Time Inc. have spoken with is quite willing to live within the USPS’ published service standards and neither requests nor supports manual processing of Hot 2C.”

Claiming that Periodicals mail only covers 75% of its costs, the Postal Service wants to change the rules so that publishers’ postage rates can be increased faster than inflation. (See Postal Service Preparing Double Whammy for Publishers.) But publishers have repeatedly pointed out the Postal Service’s insistence on bypassing automated sorting equipment and its use of questionable cost-accounting methods.

Dead Tree Edition also questioned this past summer whether postal executives are pursuing a “Washington Monument strategy” of purposely making the Periodicals class look like a money loser.

The OIG report listed three other reasons cited by postal managers for high Periodicals processing costs. O’Brien pointed out why all three are lame excuses:
  • Missed CETs: “When a Periodical mailing misses a CET [Critical Entry Time, which is the deadline for next-day delivery], the facility may be unable to process the mailing” with automated equipment and therefore does it manually or sends it to delivery units for manual sortation, the OIG reports says. O’Brien’s response: “The practice of manual processing of mail that arrives beyond the CET is neither requested nor supported by Periodicals mailers. There must be other reasons for local managers to choose manual processing of products that arrive after CET.”
  • Bundle breakage: Some of the processing and distribution centers the OIG studied routinely process certain periodicals manually because the bundles are so prone to breakage. O’Brien’s response: The Postal Service could cut down on the problem by ending what amounts to a subsidy for putting Periodicals mail into sacks, which increases bundle breakage. He also pointed out a problem, first identified in 1998, with the way the Postal Service often unloads pallets that causes many bundles to break.
  • Mailpiece characteristics: “Management identified certain publications that, from prior experience, they are unable to process on automated equipment,” the OIG report said. “These mailpieces, frequently newspaper-shaped publications, are processed in manual flats operations.” O’Brien’s response: “If mail is non-machinable, it should be paying the non-machinable rate. If the non-machinable rate covers 100% of the related costs, then the USPS should be indifferent whether mail is non-machinable or machinable.”
O’Brien also urged the OIG to investigate why a growing proportion of Periodicals mail is being handled manually even though publishers are increasingly preparing their mail in ways that, in the OIG’s own words, “require a minimum level of manual processing.” O’Brien and others have blamed much of that trend on the use of “automation refugees”, which involves idling machines while excess employees handle the mail manually.

Related articles:
Here is the full text of O’Brien’s letter to David C. Williams, Inspector General of the USPS:

I’m writing regarding the recent OIG Audit Report on Periodicals Mail Costs (Report Number CRR-AR-11-001). Let me begin by thanking you and your staff for undertaking this project. The unexplained rise in Periodicals costs has been a significant problem for a number of years. The conclusion of the OIG report cites several reasons for the increases in manual processing costs, including:

• The “Hot 2C” program.
• Missed Critical Entry Times.
• Bundle breakage and preparation problems.
• Characteristics that make mailpieces non-machinable.

While identifying these possible causes for the problem, however, the report failed to take account of some information that has substantial relevance to the questions it was addressing. For example, the Hot 2C program was NEVER requested by the customers of the Postal Service. While the report does indicate that the Hot 2C program is unofficial, it does not reflect the fact that it is not customer driven and that Periodicals publishers have repeatedly made clear that they do not desire and are not willing to pay for “hot” processing. Every publisher that we at Time Inc. have spoken with is quite willing to live within the USPS’ published service standards and neither requests nor supports manual processing of Hot 2C.

The report also refers to missed Critical Entry Times (CETs) as a cause of manual processing. As in the case of Hot 2C, Periodicals mailers have not requested that they receive any special processing as a consequence of arriving after the CET. In fact, the opposite is true. For example, if one of the our magazines arrives later than the CET, we at Time Inc. automatically assume that in-home delivery will occur one day later than scheduled and adjust our Deltrak system to reflect the late arrival. As a result, a late-arriving Time Inc. truck will have no impact upon the USPS’ delivery service scores. The practice of manual processing of mail that arrives beyond the CET is neither requested nor supported by Periodicals mailers. There must be other reasons for local managers to choose manual processing of products that arrive after CET.

The issue of bundle breakage is not new. It was identified as one of the factors contributing to Periodicals costs in a 1998 Periodicals Mail Processing Task Force. During the R90-1 rate case, when Periodicals mailers first complained about anomalously large increases in the mail processing costs attributed to Periodicals, several postal officials suggested it might be due to bundle breakage, even though there was no evidence at that time that there had been any increase in such breakage which might explain the higher costs.

Bundle breakage is much more likely when flats bundles are entered in sacks. A 1999-2000 USPS survey, with industry participation, found that about 0.5% of the Periodicals flats bundles entered on pallets break , and that 1.26% of Standard flats bundles entered on pallets break. But for bundles entered in sacks, the percentage of bundle breakage was in the double digits, both for Periodicals and Standard flats. Because the percentage of Periodicals entered in sacks has been declining for many years, one would expect the extent of bundle breakage to also have declined.

The Postal Service could help reduce Periodicals costs, including costs caused by bundle breakage, by correcting an imbalance in the current rate structure where mailers who use sacks pay a smaller portion of the costs of those sacks than those who use pallets pay for the cost of pallets. This gives mailers a disincentive to switch to the use of pallets. (See the cost passthrough percentages for Periodicals bundles and containers in FY09-3, Docket No. ACR2009. For example, if a 3-digit sack is entered at the originating SCF, the mailer pays a sack charge which is equal to 34.2% of what it costs the Postal Service to handle that sack. The corresponding charge for a pallet is 50% of the costs.)

With regard to bundles that break even though they are entered from pallets, the 1998 study indicated that if employees operate the pallet dumping equipment in a manner where one layer gets dumped at a time, significantly fewer bundles are broken in comparison to a pallet that is dumped in a single motion. In essence when a single motion is employed, the first bundles to hit the conveyor belt are at the bottom of a 2,000 lb avalanche and are not built to withstand such pressure. Bundle breakage is also caused by the “waterfall system” that helps to singulate bundles on the APPS machines. The USPS has known about this problem for a number of years and has attempted to correct the problem but it is my understanding that bundles continue to break in this area. While I am certain that there are mailers who still use string and rubber bands that contribute to broken bundles, I am also convinced that there are a number of actions that the Postal Service can take to significantly reduce the number of broken bundles.

The issue of non-machinable mail also appears to be straightforward. If mail is non-machinable, it should be paying the non-machinable rate. If the non-machinable rate covers 100% of the related costs, then the USPS should be indifferent whether mail is non-machinable or machinable. Any increases in non-machinable mail would reflect higher revenues as well as higher costs.

As in the case of bundle and pallet costs, non-machinable mail is an item that cost based rates would resolve. The rate structure in place today has all of the proper rate cells to correct these problems, but the USPS must begin to take the necessary steps to adjust the rates within those cells. Without such an adjustment, mailers will continue to provide mail that drives up costs. But after the R2006-1 rate case, when non-machinable rates first were introduced for Periodicals flats, the Postal Service, inexplicably, chose to not apply such rates for 5-digit non-machinable flats with barcodes. Not only did the Postal Service thereby deprive itself of the extra revenues that the application of non-machinable rates to such flats would have provided, it also missed the opportunity to give 5-digit mailers a stronger incentive to use a machinable flats format, which could have reduced manual processing.

The report also states that the “Postal Service data collection systems and procedures accurately attribute costs to Periodicals based on the existing cost attribution models.” This may be true, but is the OIG certain that the existing cost attribution models are accurate? These models and the IOCS data collection system have been the subject of numerous debates before the Postal Rate Commission and Postal Regulatory Commission and warrant a much deeper dive than what was reflected in the OIG’s report. For example, during several rate cases, starting in Docket No. R97-1, the Postal Service argued against the Commission's long held view that the costs of most mail processing operations vary one hundred percent with the volume handled at those operations, i.e., that there are no economies of scale in mail processing. The issue was never settled. Each year since the enactment of PAEA, the Postal Service has been reporting costs based on the Commission's traditional assumptions about volume variability (costs are 100% volume variable). One must assume, however, that the Postal Service still believes true volume variability is less than 100 percent, in which case it would follow that the true marginal costs of Periodicals and other products are less than the costs that have been reported in the recent ACR's.

Evidence that volume variability is less than 100% has been seen in recent years. As flats volume dropped precipitously, the costs being attributed to the remaining flats did not drop proportionately, causing large year-to-year declines in the cost coverage being reported both for Periodicals and Standard flats. Clearly, these declining cost coverage figures are not caused by flats being prepared any differently by the mailers, but by the Postal Service's inability to shed the costs of excess capacity.

As the OIG report states on page 15, “Periodicals’ share of manual flats sorting has been increasing, even though Periodicals mail volume declined and a higher percentage of Periodicals were prepared by mailers and at a level that should require a minimum level of manual processing.” Clearly, something is not right and further investigation is warranted. However, the report does not indicate a next step regarding such investigation. Is the OIG recommending that the Lean Six Sigma teams resolve these issues, or is the OIG going to conduct additional investigation? If the OIG is going to do more research, I suggest that you involve Halstein Stralberg, a consultant to Time Inc. Halstein is the industry expert on mail processing costs and was responsible for developing the USPS’ mail flow models. In addition, he has been studying mail processing operations and costs for decades.

The issue of rising manual processing mail costs is extremely important to Periodicals mailers and we are very appreciative of the OIG’s efforts. We are hopeful that the work doesn’t come to a halt now that this report has been issued. There are still many open issues that need to be resolved. In addition, given the fact that Periodicals cost coverage remains below 100%, time is of the essence in addressing this issue. We look forward to working with the OIG and the Postal Service in driving excessive and unexplained costs from the system.

Wednesday, August 11, 2010

Why Does USPS Make Retiring Difficult When It Has So Many Excess Employees? Tough Question #5

The U.S. Postal Service proved this week what mailers have been saying for weeks -- that it is seeking exigent rate increases without first having done everything it can to reduce costs.

Specifically, it demonstrated that it still has excess career employees – many of whom are eligible for retirement – yet is doing nothing to reduce those numbers. Before the Postal Service is granted rate increases that require bending, if not breaking, the law that governs postal rates, postal executives need to explain why they are discouraging employees from retiring when they should be encouraging early retirement.

The Postal Service provided the first piece of evidence against itself on Monday when it answered the Postal Regulatory Commission’s query, “Please provide the percentage of [flats] pieces currently processed in a non-optimal fashion by manual sort.” The Postal Service’s answer: “30 percent of volume was handled manually in FY 2009.”

A surplus of equipment, a dearth of automation
The Postal Service has enough equipment – in fact, a surplus of equipment -- to avoid virtually all manual handling of flats. Mailers have been claiming for years, without refutation from the Postal Service, that the only reason for so much manual handling is to keep “automation refugees” (excess employees) busy. Imagine a farmer who kept a combine idle while having his workers harvest with machetes, or a construction company turning off its backhoe so its employees can move some dirt with shovels.

What is the Postal Service doing to reduce its excess employment levels? Nothing. Stephen J. Masse, vice president of finance and planning, told the PRC today that the Postal Service has no plans to offer early-retirement incentives and is waiting for attrition to reduce its employment levels.

In fact, the Postal Service is doing worse than nothing. Its practices discourage retirement by providing many employees with estimates of retirement benefits that are too low. Dead Tree Edition explained the problem in The Postal Service's Early-Retirement Snafu and PostalReporter documented the situation in more detail a year ago. But the Postal Service seems to have done nothing to correct the problem.

Some have told me that federal bureaucrats and regulations tie the Postal Service’s hands in this matter. If that’s true, why aren’t postal officials raising a stink with Congress? And why aren’t they communicating better with employees about the issue rather than leaving that to the unions.

It makes you wonder whether the people at L’Enfant Plaza who provide estimates of retirement benefits are the same ones who allowed the government to overcharge the Postal Service $75 billion in pension costs.

USPS officials are rightly arguing that the federal government should return those pension overpayments to the USPS. Their case would be stronger if they committed to putting some of that money aside for early-retirement incentives that would help reduce the Postal Service's workforce, which constitute 80% of its costs.

It could even get creative -- for example, letting employees in an overstaffed facility bid to retire early, with the lowest bids winning. Some employees might be more willing to retire from career positions if they could switch to part-time or on-call status without their pension benefits being harmed.

Previous articles in the “tough questions for the Postal Service” series:

Wednesday, July 14, 2010

Why Offer 30% Discounts on a 'Money-Losing' Product? Tough Question #3 For USPS

The Postal Service claimed once again last week that it loses money on Standard flats mail, just five days after kicking off a huge discount program on – guess what? – Standard flats mail.

The claim that Standard flats is "under water" was repeated in the USPS’s request for “exigent” rate increases: “To fully close the coverage gap, Standard Mail Flats prices would need to increase by 16 percent,” wrote James M. Kiefer, a USPS pricing economist, in a statement submitted to the Postal Regulatory Commission.

The discounts – up to 30% for some pieces sent by large mailers – are part of the second annual Summer Sale on Standard mail. The sale's discounts are the same for Standard flats -- mostly catalogs and retail circulars that are not in carrier-route bundles -- as for "profitable" categories like Standard letters.

The Postal Service decided to take “a cautious approach” and only increase Standard flats rates by 5.1%, Kiefer said, because “increasing postage prices too much at this vulnerable point could force catalog mailers to cut their customer lists.” Some mailers in the category (especially low-volume mailers of lightweight pieces), however, would get rate hikes rivaling the 8.0% average for Periodicals.

In any case, how can the Postal Service claim on one hand that rates for Standard flats should be raised at least 16% while on the other hand justifying temporary discounts of up to 30% on that same type of mail?

The Summer Sale is based on sensible and well-researched analysis showing that additional Standard flats mail is profitable for the Postal Service even when heavily discounted.

Postal Service Bloat
The contention that Standard flats are unprofitable is based on a completely different accounting system that improperly assigns the cost of “automation refugees” and other symptoms of Postal Service bloat to flats processing, which makes both Standard and Periodicals flats look unprofitable. The Postal Service’s supposed costs for handling flats have skyrocketed the past few years even though flats are being mailed more efficiently than ever.

In reality, according to Time Inc’s Jim O’Brien, the Summer Sale analysis suggests that the Periodicals class is covering its “short-run attributable costs” – that is, that the Postal Service is more profitable with Periodicals than without.

But the Postal Service is using Periodicals’ supposed lack of cost coverage as an excuse to jack up the class’s rates by more than 8%, which comes out to 9% for some of the most efficient mailers. And though Standard flats are getting a pass this time around, postal executives have painted a target on that category for future increases.

“Clearly, we cannot continue to price Standard Mail Flats below costs for an extended period of time,” Kiefer wrote. “The Postal Service may have to adjust Standard Mail Flats prices at above average rates at some point, but now is not the time.”

But before the Postal Service gets approval for any rates based on lack of cost coverage, it needs to explain how its accounting systems conclude that Standard flats lose money when they pay their normal rates but are profitable when discounted by 30%.

For more information on related subjects, please see:
Previous articles in the "tough questions" series:
Next in the series: Is the Periodicals Class the Postal Service's Washington Monument?

    Tuesday, March 30, 2010

    The De-Automation of Periodicals Mail

    Jim O’Brien of Time Inc., who is in his third decade studying the Postal Service’s “automation refugees,” makes a startling statement in a guest article for the blog run by the Postal Service’s Office of Inspector General:

    “More Periodicals mail is manually processed than ever, and manual productivity continues to decline,” wrote O’Brien, widely recognized as a leading expert on the U.S. Postal Service's handling of Periodicals mail.

    Magazine publishers have put lots of energy and resources into making our publications more suited to the Postal Service’s sorting equipment. We’ve participated in co-mail to create more carrier-route bundles, moved mail from sacks to pallets, turned our addresses upside down in preparation for the Flats Sequencing System, and are converting our tabloids to other formats to comply with the “droop” test.

    But more than ever, according to O’Brien, postal facilities are letting the machines sit idle while employees handle newspapers and magazines (and, presumably, catalogs) manually. These employees are "automation refugees" – whom O'Brien describes as “mail processing employees who were assigned to manual operations when automation eliminated the work they had been doing.” So much for using automation to decrease the Postal Service's costs.

    Rather than addressing the problem, postal officials complain that they're losing so much money on Periodicals that they need to jack up our rates. How about acknowledging that there are too many mail-processing employees and offering them a decent incentive to retire early?

    “How can the Postal Service continue to imply that Periodicals mailers are responsible for the cost coverage problem when mailers have substantially and consistently increased Periodicals worksharing?” O’Brien wrote in the blog published yesterday. “The Postal Service should NOT be permitted to continue using Periodicals class mail processing as a dumping ground for its excess labor and the associated costs.”

    The Postal Regulatory Commission also indicated yesterday that it might finally realize something is fishy about the Postal Service’s cost accounting for Periodicals. Rather than ruling on whether Periodicals rates are out of compliance with a law that requires each class of mail to break even, it held off doing anything until it receives the in-progress "Joint Report" on Periodicals cost coverage. (But it also hinted that major increases in Periodicals bundle and container rates are in order.)

    For further information on the matter of automation refugees and how the USPS’s flawed accounting methods might lead to big rate increases for magazines, newspapers (and perhaps catalogs), please see: